Oilseed Market size was valued at USD 249.1 billion in 2023 and is poised to cross USD 421.5 billion by the end of 2036, expanding at more than 4.5% CAGR during the forecast period i.e., between 2024-2036. In 2024, the industry size of oilseed is evaluated at USD 259.4 billion.
The oilseed market is driven by the rising consumption of vegetable oil. Per capita consumption of vegetable oil is set to grow at 0.8% per annum due to increasing demand for saturated foods in developed and emerging countries. China’s present consumption is 29 kg per capita and Brazil's is 26 kg per capita, which is comparable to those of developed countries where it has leveled off at 28 kg per capita, but growing at 0.3% per annum. India is the world’s number one importer and second-largest consumer of vegetable oil. The country is projected to observe a high per capita consumption rate of 2.6%, reaching 14 kg by 2030. This is expected to boost domestic production of crushed oilseed and palm oil imports mainly from Indonesia and Malaysia. Changes in dietary habits and a shift toward processed foods with a high content of vegetable oil are fostering market expansion.
Growth Drivers
Challenges
Base Year |
2023 |
Forecast Year |
2024-2036 |
CAGR |
4.5% |
Base Year Market Size (2023) |
USD 249.1 billion |
Forecast Year Market Size (2036) |
USD 421.5 billion |
Regional Scope |
|
Type (Sunflower, Soybean, Peanut, Cottonseed, Rapeseed)
Soybean segment in the oilseed market is expected to exceed USD 198.6 billion by 2036. The segment's tremendous growth rate can be augmented by their fueled demand for animal feed, particularly in developing nations including China, Brazil, India, Korea, and others where the average consumer's ability to eat more meat is being rapidly increased due to rising living standards. In addition, a report by the International Institute for Sustainable Development in 2024 estimated that for dairy production and animal feed for meat, about 76% of the soybean production is used which acts as a quality protein at a low cost.
Breeding Type (Genetically Modified, Conventional)
Genetically modified segment is projected to dominate around 61% oilseed market share by the end of 2036. Genetically modified (GM) oilseeds are developed through biotechnological methods to introduce specific genes that confer traits such as herbicide resistance, pest resistance, improved oil composition, or enhanced yield potential. GM oilseed crops undergo genetic modification to achieve desired characteristics not naturally present. According to a 2019 report published by the International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications stated that 190.4 million hectares of genetically modified crops were grown in 29 countries in 2019.
Additionally, after genetically modifying and using biotechnology in agriculture, the tolerance to environmental conditions increases, that makes the plant able to grow in conditions such as drought while making them resistant to diseases and pests. This could help in the growth of the agriculture biologicals value during the forecasted period.
Biotech Trait (Herbicide Tolerant, Insecticide Resistant)
Herbicide tolerant segment in the oilseed market is projected to showcase growth rate of around 4% between 2024-2036 and is likely to remain the largest segment in the biotech trait of the oilseed sector propelled by the herbicide-tolerant oilseeds and crops that are genetically modified are able to withstand several herbicides, while removing the undesirable weeds that surround them.
According to a report by MDPI in 2023, about 96 types of crops were reported to be herbicide-resistant in about 72 countries. Herbicide-tolerant crop cultivation gives farmers the freedom to apply herbicides to their crops whenever the number of weeds considerably rises, shielding the crops from the herbicide's effects.
Our in-depth analysis of the global oilseed market includes the following segments:
Type |
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Breeding Type |
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Biotech Trait |
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North America Market Statistics
The oilseed market in North America is expected to hold the largest revenue of about 186 billion in 2023 owing to the high production capacity in the U.S. and Canada. The U.S. Department of Agriculture estimated in 2024, the farm output of the U.S. increased by about 190% between 1948 to 2021.
In the U.S., there is an increasing demand for cooking oil which demands high oilseed production. A report by Research Nester in 2024, that soybean oil was the most used edible oil in the United States in 2023, wherein Americans consumed about 12.3 million metric tons of soybean oil and about 1.9 million metric tons of palm oil in 2023.
A 2024 report by Farm Credit Canada states that the preference for oilseed is increasing and was estimated to show a gain of about 7.8% between 2014 and 2018. Canada is a major producer and the largest exporter of rapeseed. As per the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) estimations, Canada is set to increase its oilseed production by a CAGR of 1.2% by 2030.
APAC Market Analysis
Asia Pacific in oilseed market is set to dominate around 30% revenue share by the end of 2036, and will account for the second position owing to the growing food industry. Research by Leatherhead Food Research in 2020 stated that the food and beverage industry in APAC increased, with a CAGR of about 11% from 2020 to 2o24. The vegetable oil aggregate includes coconut, palm kernel, and cottonseed oils. Coconut oil is primarily produced in the Indonesia, and Oceanic islands, and the Philippines.
In China, there has been an increase in soybean production as per a MPDI released a report in 2022. It stated that the soybean production increased to 18 million tons in 2019 from 5.11 million tons in 1949 with a substantial growth rate of 3.63%. China accounts for more than a quarter of global protein meal demand and is therefore shaping global demand development. Growth in China’s demand for compound feed is expected to be slower than in the previous decade due to declining growth rates for animal production and the existing large share of compound feed-based production. The protein meal content in China’s compound feed is expected to remain stable as it surged in the last decade and considerably exceeds at present the levels of the United States and the European Union. As pig herds are being rebuilt in China following the outbreak of ASF, larger scale feed-based production systems have been installed. This could lead to an additional shift in demand for protein meal due to further intensification of the Chinese pigmeat production.
Japan is predicted to have the highest health-related food industry and was credited to be the third largest globally by USDA Foreign Agriculture Service in 2020, which is expected to be about USD 13 billion in 2018. Additionally, the ever-increasing food manufacturing landscape coupled with the fast-paced busy lifestyle is also expected to act as a growth factor for oilseed market.
High prices and increasing demands are driving investments in bigger, better oilseed processing plants around the world as facilities try to keep pace with ongoing growth. Most of these companies are continuously collaborating, expanding, making agreements, and joining ventures for the growth of this sector and are estimated to be the major key players in this landscape.
Author Credits: Parul Atri
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