Nuclear Decommissioning Market size was valued at USD 7.12 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 13.1 billion by 2037, expanding at around 4.8% CAGR during the forecast period i.e., between 2025-2037. In the year 2025, the industry size of nuclear decommissioning is assessed at USD 7.39 billion. The major element that fuels the market revenue is the growing operation of nuclear power reactors. For instance, in the year 2023, approximately 419 power reactors were operating across the globe. Furthermore, amongst these over 199 nuclear reactors might begin the process of decommissioning by 2050.
Furthermore, the prevalence of nuclear accidents has also surged significantly in the world. These nuclear accidents are estimated to create dangerous radiation emergencies. If it explodes on the ground, the radiation might absorb material from the air and produce harmful radioactive particles known as fallout. Moreover, this is further set to increase the fatality rate and influence the rise in the number of diseases including cardiovascular disease, cataracts, and more. As a result, governments are encouraging the adoption of nuclear decommissioning post-nuclear accidents.
Growth Drivers
Challenges
Base Year |
2024 |
Forecast Year |
2025-2037 |
CAGR |
4.8% |
Base Year Market Size (2024) |
USD 7.12 billion |
Forecast Year Market Size (2037) |
USD 13.1 billion |
Regional Scope |
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Reactor Type [Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR), Boiling Water Reactor (BWR), Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor (PHWR), Gas Cooled Reactor (GCR)]
The pressurized water reactor (PWR) segment is poised to generate the highest nuclear decommissioning market share of around 40% over the coming years. This growth can be attributed to the fact that they are easy to operate, and less fissile material is situated in the core of the reactor, which further decreases the occurrence of additional fission events.
Additionally, the PWR's major beneficial factor includes the turbine cycle. As the mani and secondary loops are detached, water might not get polluted by radioactive material in the primary system loop. Moreover, growing demand for electricity is also predicted to boost the growth of the segment. In 2022, the consumption of electricity across the globe rose to over 25,499 terawatt-hours, which determined an increase over the past half a century.
Decommissioning Strategy (Immediate Dismantling, Deferred Dismantling, Entombment)
The immediate dismantling segment is expected to hold the highest market share of approximately 50% during 2024-2037. The main element to dominate the segment market share is its active approach to rapidly decontaminating nuclear facilities after closure. Owing to this, the risks associated with radioactive materials are reduced, therefore securing a safer and healthier environment.
Capacity (Up to 800 MW, 801 MW-1000 MW, Above 1000 MW)
The up to 800 MW segment is projected to generate the highest market revenue of about USD 300 billion by the end of 2037. Nuclear power plants with a capacity range of up to 800 MW are deployed among a large number of nations. However, these plants are forecasted to age and face economic or safety concerns rapidly, which is why the demand for decommissioning is rising. These plants’ decommissioning includes dissembling and protected disposal of radioactive matter, along with site remediation.
Our in-depth analysis of the global market includes the following segments:
Reactor Type |
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Decommissioning Strategy |
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Capacity |
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North American Market Statistics
The nuclear commissioning market in the North America region, amongst the market in all the other regions, is foreseen to encourage the largest with a share of close to 30% by the end of 2037. This market growth is expected to be dominated by a growing urban population. In 2022, the urban population in North America was close to 308,798,138, a rise of about 0.76% from 2021. Hence, the power demand is also growing which is further forecasted to influence the nuclear commissioning market’s expansion. In addition, there has been an increasing investment made in R&D activities in the region in order to find innovative solutions to deal with radioactive waste.
European Market Analysis
The Europe market for nuclear decommissioning is also forthcoming to have notable growth in the market for the years to come. This growth can be impelled by the growing number of key players in this region. Moreover, the deployment of wind energy has also risen in this area to promote green energy. Hence, in 2023, Europe deployed over 17 GW of wind power capacity. Additionally, it is anticipated that Europe might install more 259 GW of wind energy between 2024 and 2030 in order to meet the aim of net zero target. Furthermore, different improvements have been carried out on the turbine which is further estimated to satisfy a large number of people in this region. Consequently, this sector has also attracted huge investments from major players, stimulating the market’s growth in this region.
Author Credits: Dhruv Bhatia
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