Electricity Trading Market - Growth Drivers and Challenges
Growth Drivers
- Integration of renewable energy: An increase in the deployment of intermittent wind and solar power is considered the single greatest driver for the electricity trading market globally. Their variability has created continuous imbalances in supply and demand, which has hugely increased volatility and volume in short-term economies. According to a data report published by the IEA Organization in 2025, solar photovoltaic (PV) generation has readily increased by 320 TWh, which denotes a 25% rise from 2023, and has readily reached more than 1,600 TWh. Likewise, the wind electricity generation has surged by 216 TWh, which is 10%, and reached over 2,330 TWh as of 2023. Besides, there has been a rise in investments for solar PV by 30%, surpassing USD 480 billion. Meanwhile, in the case of wind, investments reached almost USD 180 billion as of 2023, thereby suitable for boosting the market’s exposure.
Renewable Electricity Generation by Solar and Wind Comparison (2024-2030)
|
Years |
Solar PV |
Wind |
|
2024 |
6.8% |
8.2% |
|
2025 |
8.3% |
9.2% |
|
2026 |
9.8% |
9.9% |
|
2027 |
11.4% |
10.7% |
|
2028 |
12.9% |
11.6% |
|
2029 |
14.5% |
12.5% |
|
2030 |
16.1% |
13.4% |
Source: IEA Organization
- Increased demand for electrification: The massive electrification of electric vehicles, industrial processes, and heating has created flexible and new electricity sources demand. This eventually requires proactive management, which is deliberately uplifting the electricity trading market internationally. As stated in a data report published by the IEA Organization in 2025, there has been an upsurge in the demand for electricity by 4.3% as of 2024, a rise from 2.5% in 2023. Besides, the average pace of electricity requirement has also grown by 2.7% in the same year, which further denotes twice the rate of the overall energy upliftment. Therefore, based on this growth, electrification has readily been integrated by different sectors, which has further raised the electricity demand in the majority of economies.
- Liberalization in the market: The aspect of emerging economies in Latin America and Asia has progressed and restructured their power industries. This has resulted in developing high-growth and new opportunities for the electricity trading market by attracting international players. As stated in an article published by Energy Policy in January 2025, the energy industry liberalization in Germany is aligned with policy interventions that transformed the energy landscape by increasing the renewables share in gross electricity consumption from 6.3% to 54.4% as of 2024. Besides, as per the April 2025 EMBER Energy Organization article, the worldwide electricity share accounts for 40.9% from low-carbon sources in 2024. Additionally, the solar generation growth rate also exceeded more than 29%, thus making it suitable for the market’s upliftment.
Challenges
- Policy uncertainty and regulatory fragmentation: The greatest challenge for the electricity trading market is navigating a fragmented, frequently volatile, and complicated regulatory landscape. Unlike internationally standardized commodity markets, the aspect of electricity trading is readily governed by regional and national rules governing subsidy schemes, carbon pricing, grid codes, and market accessibility. This particular fragmentation has created significant operational inefficiencies and restricted cross-border arbitrage opportunities. Moreover, unpredictable and sudden transitions in energy policy, including uncertainty, have deterred long-lasting investments and increased the capital expense for overall participants, thus leading to a negative impact on the overall electricity trading market internationally.
- Infrastructure deficits and physical grid constraints: The physical facility of the power grid, especially in the case of transmission lines, has been unable to keep pace with the modified nature of electricity flow and generation. This has created a fundamental physical roadblock for the electricity trading market. The energy transition is gradually shifting generation from central fossil-fuel-based plants to frequently and remotely located renewable centers. This, in turn, has led to persistent grid congestion, wherein power is unable to flow from surplus areas to high-demand locations. Besides, for traders, congestion has split the market into small and less liquid zones with effective price differentiation, thereby making it challenging to execute a unified and single strategy.
Electricity Trading Market Size and Forecast:
|
Base Year |
2025 |
|
Forecast Period |
2026-2035 |
|
CAGR |
6.9% |
|
Base Year Market Size (2025) |
USD 95.1 billion |
|
Forecast Year Market Size (2035) |
USD 173.3 billion |
|
Regional Scope |
|
Browse key industry insights with market data tables & charts from the report:
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
In the year 2025, the industry size of the electricity trading market was over USD 95.1 billion.
The market size for the electricity trading market is projected to reach USD 173.3 billion by the end of 2035 expanding at a CAGR of 6.9% during the forecast period i.e., between 2026-2035.
The major players in the market are Uniper SE, Vattenfall AB, Statkraft AS, ?rsted A/S, EDF, Engie, and others.
In terms of the product type segment, the physical trading is anticipated to garner the largest market share of 70.8% by 2035 and display lucrative growth opportunities during 2026-2035.
The market in Europe is projected to hold the largest market share of 32.4% by the end of 2035 and provide more business opportunities in the future.