Commercial Heat Pump Market size was over USD 100 Billion in 2023 and is anticipated to exceed USD 230 Billion by the end of 2036, growing at over 10% CAGR during the forecast period i.e., between 2024-2036. In the year 2024, the industry size of commercial heat pump is assessed at USD 110 Billion.
Heat pumps are mechanical-compression cycle refrigeration systems that can heat or chill. It is widely utilized as heating and cooling solutions. It has an indoor air handler and an outdoor heat pump that works like a central air conditioner. A compressor in the outdoor unit circulates refrigerant, which absorbs and releases heat between inside and outside units.
The commercial heat pump market is predicted to grow as population growth increases heating and cooling needs. With its largely decarbonized electricity grid, France continues to be the EU’s volume leader, with about 4.25 million heat pumps installed. Finland, pulling ahead of Norway and Sweden, enjoyed the largest growth figures in relative numbers. For every 1000 households, 70 Finnish families purchased a heat pump in 2022.
Growth Drivers
Challenges
Base Year |
2023 |
Forecast Year |
2024-2036 |
CAGR |
10% |
Base Year Market Size (2023) |
USD 100 Billion |
Forecast Year Market Size (2036) |
USD 230 Billion |
Regional Scope |
|
Application (Residential, Commercial, Industrial)
Residential segment is set to dominate commercial heat pump market share of over 90% by 2036. Heat pumps are popular as people are prioritizing sustainability and energy efficiency and seeking alternate heating and cooling choices. These systems use the ground's temperature or the ambient air to heat and cool, which uses less energy. Technological advances have made home heat pumps more affordable, reliable, and efficient.
Improved designs, variable-speed compressors, and smart controls improve efficiency and energy savings, appealing to customers seeking cost-effective and sustainable solutions. LG announced an air-to-water propane heat pump for households in November 2023. The new product employs propane refrigerant, which has a lower global warming potential, and has a seasonal coefficient of efficiency (SCOP) of over five. The manufacturer claims it can reach 75 C flow temperatures and 100% heating output at -15 C.
Product Type (Air Source, Water Source, Ground Source)
In commercial heat pump market, air source segment is estimated to account for revenue share of around 85% by 2036. This segment has grown due to its sustainability and efficiency. Heat pumps that use water rely on the steady temperature of lakes, rivers, and aquifers. This method utilizes water's higher thermal conductivity property to improve heat exchange. Hence, the desire for renewable energy and eco-friendly alternatives are considered to drive the commercial heat pump market growth.
Navien UK, a Guildford boiler manufacturer, released a monobloc heat pump in July 2023. Navien's first monobloc air source heat pump and latest H2 100% hydrogen boiler are available. It is the latest in a series of innovative heating options for locals ahead of the government's 2050 net zero emissions goal.
Rated Capacity (Up to 10 kW, 10-20 kW, 20-30 kW, above 30 kW)
By 2036, 10 – 20 kW segment is expected to dominate commercial heat pump market share of over 25%. This segment aligns with the increased demand for small-scale commercial and residential applications that balance efficiency and capacity. As energy efficiency gains popularity, people pick heat pumps in this power range because they save energy while heating and cooling. Technological advancement, improved compressors, heat exchange systems, and componentry boost 10–20kW efficiency.
Intelligent, networked products allow customers to optimize energy use remotely. Awareness, technology advances, and government support boost the 10–20kW heat pump category in this positive feedback cycle. The UK energy provider Octopus introduced the high-temperature heat pump in September 2023 as one of several heating transition goods and services.
Our in-depth analysis of the global commercial heat pump market includes the following segments:
Product Type |
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Rated Capacity |
|
Application |
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APAC Market Statistics
Asia-Pacific in commercial heat pump market is estimated to dominate over 55% revenue share by 2036, Due to rapid urbanization and population growth in this region, the market is developing as more buildings use heat pumps for water, cooling, and space heating.
China, one of Asia-Pacific's largest marketplaces, demands heat pumps in commercial, residential, and industrial sectors. Heat pumps are popular in China because they use renewable energy to heat. This country is estimated to be worth 21,011.7 Mn by 2030.
Sustainable technology awareness, stricter rules, environmental concerns, and Construction of residential and commercial buildings are driving the commercial heat pump market growth. South Korea and other countries are promoting energy-efficient heat pumps because of their energy savings and environmental benefits.
North America Market Analysis
By 2036, North America commercial heat pump market is set to dominate over 25% share, Eco-friendly and energy-efficient heating choices are in demand as people become more environmentally conscious.
With USD 169 million in the 2023 climate bill, the US supported nine projects to expedite heat pumps and other energy-efficient cooling and heating systems.
The government in Canada is making heat pumps more accessible for Canadians. Low-to-median-income Nova Scotia households that heat their homes with oil receive up to USD 30,000 in funding to buy a heat pump, including up to USD 15,000 from the Government of Canada's OHPA program and USD 15,000 from the Province of Nova Scotia, with Efficiency One as the co-delivery partner.
The Commercial Heat Pump Market is mostly controlled by prominent market participants who are gaining influence in the market through the implementation of various methods, such as mergers and acquisitions.
Author Credits: Dhruv Bhatia
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