Automotive OEM Market Size & Share, by Vehicle Type (Passenger Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles, Two-wheelers, Off-road Vehicles); Component Type; Technology - Global Supply & Demand Analysis, Growth Forecasts, Statistics Report 2025-2037

  • Report ID: 6440
  • Published Date: Sep 17, 2024
  • Report Format: PDF, PPT

Global Market Size, Forecast, and Trend Highlights Over 2025-2037

Automotive OEM Market size is estimated at USD 39.3 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to exceed USD 69.6 billion by the end of 2037, growing at over 4.5% CAGR during the forecast period i.e., between 2025-2037. In 2025, the industry size of automotive OEM is assessed at USD 41.1 billion.

OEMs are embracing a shift in consumer behavior toward the adoption of new automotive technologies in BEVs and PHEVs. In recent years, Jaguar, Mini, Bentley, Volvo, and Ford Europe have announced their aspirations to emerge as BEV-only brands by the end of 2030. Other companies are also striving to make BEVs their key propulsion system in the future. In 2020, there were approximately 370 BEV models on sale and this number is anticipated to reach 800 by 2030.  The consumer is set to have a pivotal role in influencing and shaping these lofty OEM ambitions during the forecast timescale.

With the bolstering of BEV manufacturing, the OEM development costs can be spread thing over higher volumes of vehicles, thereby positively reducing the cost per vehicle. In addition, reduced ICE vehicle output, is compounded by the relative BEV powertrain design simplicity that typically has 20 moving parts when compared to ICE powertrains with over 2000 moving parts. Considering tooling, facilities and launch engineering costs (TFLE) in regards to powertrains, the tipping point for cost parity of a passenger vehicle in the EU will be by 2030, and in mainland China will be 2027. Beyond these dates, the BEV sector will further benefit from the vehicle-cost gap. Against this background, automotive OEMs have identified a clear strategy to commit to electrification, meanwhile seeking upfront investments to reach scale by 2037.


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Automotive OEM Market: Growth Drivers and Challenges

Growth Drivers

  • Transition to green transportation and COVID-19 aftermath: The automotive OEM market is pivoting toward a sustainable future driven by the intensification of green policy initiatives including the Paris COP-21 agreement, which aggressively moving toward zero tailpipe emission target dates. 195 parties, including the EU have joined the Paris COP-21 to date and this has set a global standard decarbonization framework for OEMs. This has triggered the development of essential policies targeting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the U.S. and EU, making it a central plank in government regulations.  

    In the post-pandemic era, governments grappled with unprecedented adjustments in their fiscal balances, with an emphasis on supporting low-GHG growth strategies. The COVID-19 outbreak has significantly accelerated EV adoption as part of an overall sustainable solution. OEMs have actively embraced this trend and 2030 is expected to bring in the tipping point post which EV sales will rise exponentially. Massive government and private spending is seeping into equity markets. In April 2021, Tesla’s capitalization of USD 675 billion emerged as more valuable than Volkswagen (USD 162 billion), Toyota (USD 215 billion), Daimler (USD 97 billion), BYD (USD69 billion), and General Motors (USD86 billion- all five key OEMs combined.

    Also, the special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) are increasingly absorbing entrants such as Lucid, Reev, Fisker, and Arrival, with an aim to further consolidate the automotive OEM market.Growing environmental consciousness and pro-green regulations are driving consumer interest in electric and hybrid automobiles. In response to this shift, OEMs are increasing the range of EVs they provide. IEA stated that the sales of electric vehicles increased by 3.5 million in 2023 compared to 2022, a 35% annual rise. Additionally, there is a growing demand for personalized vehicles that cater to the preferences and requirements of consumers. In response, OEMs are offering an expanded selection of trim levels and customization options to meet this demand.
  • Surging transition to data analytics: Automakers are introducing exclusive, specially designed in-car operating systems, placing software at the center of the driving experience and enabling frequent, large-scale feature updates. For instance, in February 2023, Mercedes-Benz unveiled its plans to serve as the creator of MB.OS, as its operating system will launch alongside the new MMA platform (Mercedes Modular Architecture) in the middle of the decade.

    Compared to other companies, Tesla began this process far earlier and has a larger volume of high-quality data. Their core view of themselves as a software and data business, rather than a manufacturing, contributes to their supremacy in this field. Furthermore, environmentally conscious car buyers are shifting toward cars with lower emissions, better fuel economy, and more eco-friendly components, encouraging the original equipment manufacturers to incorporate sustainable vehicle components.
  • Growing technological innovations: The automotive OEM market is anticipated to expand due to the quickening pace of technological advancements, which will raise demands for batteries, filters for diesel-powered cars, and innovative automotive parts made possible by skilled and knowledgeable technical staff. In 2023, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that the demand for EV batteries had surged to over 750 GWh, marking a 40% increase compared to 2022. Periodic maintenance of motor vehicles is necessary; accessible parts for these services include cleaning, lubrication, battery servicing, and tire replacement.

Challenges

  • Compliance with strict regulations: Regulation adherence is often linked to technology disruption; examples include modifications to emissions regulations and safety legislation about driverless vehicles. OEMs are under more pressure to comply with these regulations, which complicate and raise the cost of vehicle development and manufacture. It could be difficult for traditional OEMs to adopt new technology by updating their antiquated infrastructure and processes, which may hamper the growth of the automotive OEM market.
  • Increased technological disruptions: Technical innovation may advance more quickly than OEMs can adjust, which could disrupt the industry and cause slower-moving companies to lose market share. Research and development (R&D) costs associated with integrating new technology into vehicles are high, making it challenging for OEMs to balance R&D expenditures with profitability, particularly during economic uncertainty or cost pressure. Therefore, growing technological advancements may impede the automotive OEM market from growing.

Automotive OEM Market: Key Insights

Base Year

2024

Forecast Year

2025-2037

CAGR

4.5%

Base Year Market Size (2024)

USD 39.3 billion

Forecast Year Market Size (2037)

USD 69.6 billion

Regional Scope

  • North America (U.S., and Canada)
  • Asia Pacific (Japan, China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, Australia, Rest of Asia Pacific)
  • Europe (UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Russia, NORDIC, Rest of Europe)
  • Latin America (Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Rest of Latin America)
  • Middle East and Africa (Israel, GCC North Africa, South Africa, Rest of the Middle East and Africa)
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Automotive OEM Segmentation

 Technology (Internal Combustion Engine, Hybrid Vehicles, Electric Vehicles)

Internal combustion engine segment is expected to dominate over 53.1% automotive OEM market share by 2037. The segment growth can be attributed to the growing demand for internal combustion engine-based passenger vehicles worldwide. When it comes to driving range and refilling time, in particular, internal combustion engines (ICE) offer more versatility and range than many other powertrains. This makes them advantageous for long-distance travel and situations where access to EV infrastructure may be restricted, including rural locations or areas with insufficient infrastructure for EVs. Since internal combustion engines have dominated automotive technology for more than a century, consumers are accustomed to ICE cars. Since ICE cars are dependable, efficient, and user-friendly, many people opt for them.

Vehicle Type (Passenger Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles, Two-wheelers, Off-road Vehicles)

Commercial vehicles segment in the automotive OEM market is poised to exceed USD 3.4 billion by 2037. The segment growth can be attributed to the growing focus of manufacturers on sustainable solutions and developing commercial vehicles that reduce carbon emissions. According to a 2024 report by the UN Environment Programme, since 2000, CO2 emissions related to heavy-duty vehicles have increased by nearly 30%, with trucks accounting for 80% of this growth.

Furthermore, prolonged driving hours, accidents caused by exhaustion, and hazardous working environments discourage individuals from pursuing a career in commercial vehicle driving. To help prevent accidents and deliver a safer driving experience, some OEMs, like SCANIA and VOLVO, have incorporated Tire Pressure Monitoring Solutions (TPMS) and Driver State Monitoring Systems (DSMS).

Our in-depth analysis of the global automotive OEM market includes the following segments:

Vehicle Type

  • Passenger Vehicles
  • Commercial Vehicles
  • Two-wheelers
  • Off-road Vehicles

Component Type

  • Engine Parts
  • Transmission Parts
  • Electrical Components
  • Electronic Components
  • Body Parts

Technology

  • Internal Combustion Engine
  • Hybrid Vehicles
  • Electric Vehicles 

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Automotive OEM Industry - Regional Synopsis

North America Market Statistics

North America automotive OEM market is poised to dominate revenue share of over 36.2% by 2037. The market is expanding in the region due to a robust manufacturing infrastructure, including advanced facilities, cutting-edge machinery, and a skilled workforce. To boost output, enhance quality assurance, and shorten the time it takes to launch new car models, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) employ sophisticated production techniques such as automation, robotics, and digitalization.

The U.S. encourages the development of new ideas, technology, and high-performance auto manufacturing. Additionally, it is anticipated that the country will be a major player in the development of automatic vehicles, which will expand the automotive OEM market. Also, the government is implementing several laws for reducing vehicle crashes which has pressurized OEMs to incorporate advanced features in their vehicles. For instance, in April 2024, The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) of the U.S. Department of Transportation finalized a new Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standard that would require all passenger automobiles and light trucks to have automated emergency braking (AEB), including pedestrian AEB, by September 2029.

Canada is a hub for emerging technologies and is receiving significant investments in autonomous, electric, and connected vehicle research from global OEMs such as GM and Ford as well as tech giants like Uber, Google, and Nvidia. For instance, in April 2023, Ford invested USD 1.8 billion to turn Oakville (Ont.) Assembly Complex into a Canadian hub for producing electric vehicles, which will include the assembly of battery packs and vehicles.

APAC Market Analysis

The automotive OEM market in Asia Pacific is estimated to hold a significant reenue share during the forecast period. The market growth can be credited to the lower labor costs and attractive business environment for automotive production, allowing OEMs to create automobiles at cheaper costs than other regions.

The automakers in China are highly investing in research & development activities, which has led to consequent advancements in automotive technologies. Also, the country is undergoing rapid industrialization, urbanization, and motorization which is driving the demand for automobiles. According to a report by the International Institute for Environment and Development in April 2024, China's urban population rose by an astonishing 491.1 million over 25 years, despite the one-child policy, which limited natural urban population growth.

The vast consumer base of India is characterized by a rapidly expanding middle class, driven by urbanization and rising incomes, that has increasing purchasing power. The growing number of consumers drives up the cost and demand of cars, especially passenger cars. For instance, in 2020-21, the average yearly household disposable income reached over USD 27,000. By 2047, the population is predicted to have grown to over 1.66 billion.

In South Korea, the automotive OEM market for automotive original equipment manufacturers is anticipated to grow due to the growing environmental consciousness and the advancement of cleaner cars powered by renewable fuels. IEA stated that total number of electric vehicles (EVs) rose to 543,900 in 2023, a 39.5% increase over the previous year. Also, positive government regulations are expected to further curate possibilities for automotive OEM market players.

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Companies Dominating the Automotive OEM Market

    The competitive landscape of the automotive OEM market includes a wide range of suppliers, manufacturers, and up-and-coming rivals fighting for market share. These include regional businesses that customize their services for local markets, smaller OEMs that concentrate on niche automotive OEM markets or particular car segments,

    • Volkswagen Group
      • Company Overview
      • Business Strategy
      • Key Product Offerings
      • Financial Performance
      • Key Performance Indicators
      • Risk Analysis
      • Recent Development
      • Regional Presence
      • SWOT Analysis
    • Magna International Inc.
    • BMW AG
    • Stellantis N.V.
    • General Motors Company
    • Ford Motor Company
    • Groupe Renault
    • Daimler Truck AG
    • Hyundai Motor Company
    • Mercedes-Benz Group AG

In the News

  • In August 2024, Volkswagen and the Darmstadt, Germany-based startup Revoltech GmbH partnered to study and create environmentally friendly products using industrial hemp. Starting in 2028, they might be used in Volkswagen cars as a sustainable surface material.
  • In June 2022, The BMW Group announced that it will introduce an Android Open Source infotainment system in 2023 with the "BMW Operating System 9"; in this new iteration of the operating system, applications, and user interface design are also developed and implemented specifically for BMW.

Author Credits:  Saima Khursheed


  • Report ID: 6440
  • Published Date: Sep 17, 2024
  • Report Format: PDF, PPT

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

In the year 2024, the industry size of automotive OEM was over USD 39.3 billion.

The market size for automotive OEM is projected to cross USD 69.6 billion by the end of 2037 expanding at a CAGR of 4.5% during the forecast period i.e., between 2025-2037.

The major players in the market are Volkswagen Group, Magna International Inc., BMW AG, Stellantis N.V., General Motors Company, Ford Motor Company, Groupe Renault, Daimler Truck AG, Hyundai Motor Company, Mercedes-Benz Group AG, and others.

The internal combustion engine segment is anticipated to garner a share of 53.1% % during 2025-2037.

The North America automotive OEM sector is poised to hold a 36.2% share by the end of 2037.
Automotive OEM Market Report Scope
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